People don't have a good intuitive sense of how to weigh new information in light of what they already know. They tend to overrate it.

  • -- Nate Silver 内特·希尔

人们没有很好的直觉,知道如何根据他们已经知道的来衡量新信息。他们倾向于高估它。

相关名言

In this business, my business, I get to meet all kinds of incredible people, fascinating people, glamorous people and sexy people and highly intellectual people. And you meet them and you go 'interesting, interesting, interesting'. They're interesting, but not very many people stop you in your tracks.

在这个行业里,在我的行业里,我能遇到各种各样的人,不可思议的人,迷人的人,迷人的人,性感的人,还有非常聪明的人。你遇到他们,你会说“有趣,有趣,有趣”。他们很有趣,但没有多少人会阻止你。

There is nothing real about film. Nothing. Even the light particles that project the film can't be proven to exist. Nothing is there.

电影没有什么是真实的。什么。甚至投射出薄膜的光粒子也不能被证明存在。什么都没有。

I always want to portray veterans in a positive light, and since I got into acting full time, I've made that part of my goal.

我总是想以积极的态度来塑造退伍军人,自从我成为一名全职演员,我就把这作为我的目标之一。

And I loved Fats Waller. I love his instrumental abilities, his vocal abilities and his sense of humor.

我喜欢胖子沃勒。我喜欢他的演奏能力,他的声音能力和他的幽默感。

Not only is the self entwined in society; it owes society its existence in the most literal sense.

自我不仅与社会交织在一起;从最字面的意义上说,它的存在归功于社会。

An idea not coupled with action will never get any bigger than the brain cell it occupied.

一个没有付诸行动的想法永远不会比它所占据的脑细胞更大。