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People don't have a good intuitive sense of how to weigh new information in light of what they already know. They tend to overrate it.

  • -- Nate Silver 内特·希尔

人们没有很好的直觉，知道如何根据他们已经知道的来衡量新信息。他们倾向于高估它。

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Good Light Sense

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When you have a lot of resources, the most important thing is to have had good parents and to have been brought up by people who gave one the proper values.

当你有很多资源时，最重要的是有好的父母，由给予你正确价值观的人抚养长大。

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My mother gave me a sense of independence, a sense of total confidence that we could do whatever it was we set out to do. That's how we were raised.

母亲给了我一种独立的感觉，一种完全自信的感觉，我们可以做任何我们想做的事情。我们就是这样长大的。

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It is a light thing for whoever keeps his foot outside trouble to advise and counsel him that suffers.

凡把脚站在患难外面的，给那受苦的人劝戒劝戒，原是小事。

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Nature and nature's laws lay hid in the night. God said, Let Newton be! and all was light!

大自然和大自然的法则隐藏在黑夜里。上帝说，让牛顿去吧!一切都是光明的!

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Each moment of a happy lover's hour is worth an age of dull and common life.

爱人快乐时光的每一刻，都抵得上平淡无奇的一生。

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It doesn't have to make sense, it just has to sound like it does.

不一定要讲得通，只要听起来像就行了。

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