Probability and expectation are not the same. Its probability and probability times the pay off.

  • -- Nassim Nicholas Taleb 纳西姆·尼古拉斯·塔勒布

概率和期望是不一样的。它的概率和概率乘以回报。

相关名言

The crises of our time, it becomes increasingly clear, are the necessary impetus for the revolution now under way. And once we understand nature's transformative powers, we see that it is our powerful ally, not a force to feared our subdued.

越来越明显的是,我们时代的危机是目前正在进行的革命的必要动力。一旦我们理解了大自然的变革力量,我们就会发现,大自然是我们强大的盟友,而不是让我们害怕被征服的力量。

The fact that it wasn't tells me that we've got a much more fundamental problem of understanding what went wrong, and we've got to figure out what was there. And that's what I call fundamental fault analysis.

事实是它没有告诉我我们有一个更基本的问题去理解哪里出了问题,我们必须弄清楚哪里出了问题。这就是我所说的基本故障分析。

The very fact that women now form about one-fifth of the employes in manufacture and commerce in this country has opened a vast field of industrial legislation directly affecting women as wage-earners.

妇女现在在我国制造业和商业中占雇员的五分之一左右,这一事实本身就开辟了一个广泛的工业立法领域,直接影响到作为工薪阶层的妇女。

I may as well say it, I have been married three times.

我不妨说,我结过三次婚。