From principles is derived probability, but truth or certainty is obtained only from facts.

-- Tom Stoppard 汤姆·斯托帕德

概率论来自原理，但真理或确定性只能从事实中获得。

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Probability Facts

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If scientific reasoning were limited to the logical processes of arithmetic, we should not get very far in our understanding of the physical world. One might as well attempt to grasp the game of poker entirely by the use of the mathematics of probability.

如果科学推理局限于算术的逻辑过程，我们对物理世界的理解就不会走得太远。人们不妨尝试完全利用概率数学来把握扑克游戏。

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The degree of one's emotions varies inversely with one's knowledge of the facts.

一个人的情绪程度与他对事实的了解成反比。

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Those who judge before they know the facts will learn to shed tears.

在不了解事实之前作出判断的人将学会流泪。

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Information: the negative reciprocal value of probability.

信息:概率的负倒数。

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