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A politician needs the ability to foretell what is going to happen tomorrow, next week, next month, and next year. And to have the ability afterwards to explain why it didn't happen.

政治家需要预测明天、下周、下个月和明年将会发生什么。然后有能力解释为什么没有发生。

— Winston Churchill 温斯顿·丘吉尔

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