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Statistically, the probability of any one of us being here is so small that you'd think the mere fact of existing would keep us all in a contented dazzlement of surprise.

  • -- Lewis Thomas 路易斯·汤马斯

从统计数据上看，我们当中任何一个人在这里的可能性是如此之小，以至于你会认为，仅仅是存在的事实就会让我们所有人都感到满足和惊喜。

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Probability Statistically

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If scientific reasoning were limited to the logical processes of arithmetic, we should not get very far in our understanding of the physical world. One might as well attempt to grasp the game of poker entirely by the use of the mathematics of probability.

如果科学推理局限于算术的逻辑过程，我们对物理世界的理解就不会走得太远。人们不妨尝试完全利用概率数学来把握扑克游戏。

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Probability is expectation founded upon partial knowledge. A perfect acquaintance with all the circumstances affecting the occurrence of an event would change expectation into certainty, and leave nether room nor demand for a theory of probabilities.

概率是建立在部分知识基础上的期望。完全了解所有影响事件发生的情况，就会把期望变成确定性，从而为概率理论留下空间和需求。

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The whole secret to our success is being able to con ourselves into believing that we're going to change the world because statistically we are unlikely to do it.

我们成功的全部秘诀是能够说服自己相信我们将改变世界，因为从统计上看，我们不太可能做到这一点。

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I could prove God statistically. Take the human body alone - the chances that all the functions of an individual would just happen is a statistical monstrosity.

我可以从数据上证明上帝。仅以人体为例——一个人的所有功能都有可能发生，这在统计学上是一种可怕的现象。

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