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You have to test your hypothesis against other theories. Certainty in the face of complex situations is very dangerous.

  • -- Richard Holbrooke 霍尔布鲁克

你必须用其他理论来检验你的假设。在复杂的情况下，确定性是非常危险的。

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Certainty Dangerous

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Life is intrinsically, well, boring and dangerous at the same time. At any given moment the floor may open up. Of course, it almost never does; that's what makes it so boring.

生活本质上是无聊的，同时也是危险的。地板随时都可能打开。当然，它几乎从不这样做;这就是它如此无聊的原因。

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I really love nature. I grew up in the country. But one of the things about nature is that it is beautiful but it's also very dangerous.

我真的很喜欢大自然。我在乡下长大。但是关于自然的一件事是，它是美丽的，但也很危险。

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The demand for certainty is one which is natural to man, but is nevertheless an intellectual vice.

对确定性的要求是人类的天性，但也是一种智力上的恶习。

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The best lack all conviction, while the worst Are full of passionate intensity.

最好的缺乏所有的信念，而最差的充满激情的强度。

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