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The first and most optimistic response was complete rational expectations econometrics. A rational expectations equilibrium is a likelihood function. Maximize it.

  • -- Thomas J. Sargent 托马斯·萨金特

第一个也是最乐观的回应是完全理性预期计量经济学。理性预期均衡是一个似然函数。最大化。

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Response Function Expectation

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Probability is expectation founded upon partial knowledge. A perfect acquaintance with all the circumstances affecting the occurrence of an event would change expectation into certainty, and leave nether room nor demand for a theory of probabilities.

概率是建立在部分知识基础上的期望。完全了解所有影响事件发生的情况，就会把期望变成确定性，从而为概率理论留下空间和需求。

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Sometimes I wonder if there's something wrong with me. Perhaps I've spent too long in the company of my literary romantic heroes, and consequently my ideals and expectations are far too high.

有时候我在想我是不是出了什么问题。也许我和我的文学浪漫主义英雄们在一起的时间太长了，因此我的理想和期望太高了。

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What the Who is all about is exactly that and it always has been. If it exists today for this concert, it's in response again to a function which is happening out there on the street.

世界卫生组织就是这样，而且一直都是这样。如果它今天还存在于这场音乐会中，那也是对街头表演的回应。

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The true function of philosophy is to educate us in the principles of reasoning and not to put an end to further reasoning by the introduction of fixed conclusions.

哲学的真正功能是教育我们推理的原则，而不是通过引入固定的结论来结束进一步的推理。

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The more books we read, the clearer it becomes that the true function of a writer is to produce a masterpiece and that no other task is of any consequence.

我们读的书越多，就越清楚地认识到，作家的真正职责是创作一部杰作，没有其他任何任务是重要的。

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Any horror element is as much psychological as special effects.

任何恐怖元素都是心理和特效的结合。

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