Almost everyone's instinct is to be overconfident and read way too much into a hot or cold streak.

  • -- Nate Silver 内特·希尔

几乎每个人的本能都是过于自信,对冷热无常的事情看得太多。

相关名言

I will do almost anything for the sake of a joke or for the sake of someone's real belief in something to help tell a story. I will not do something shocking for the sake of being nasty. If it's not hurting anyone's feelings, I'm in on the joke.

为了一个笑话,或者为了某人对某件事的真实信念,我愿意做任何事情来帮助讲述一个故事。我不会为了卑鄙而做出令人震惊的事。如果没有伤害到任何人的感情,我是开玩笑的。

More and more the world is growing to love a lover, and one has only to read the newspapers to see how sympathetic are the times to any generous and adventurous display of the passions.

世界上越来越多的人爱上了自己的爱人,只要看看报纸,就会发现这个时代对任何慷慨和冒险的激情流露是多么地同情。

If we really wanted to be cool, and everyone in the world had Pro Tools, we could just put it up on the internet and everyone could make their own record out of it.

如果我们真的想变得很酷,世界上每个人都有专业的工具,我们可以把它放到互联网上,每个人都可以用它制作自己的唱片。

I'd much rather talk about guitar playing. I hate it when people ask me about my lyrics. I always feel like telling them to just go and read them.

我更愿意谈吉他演奏。我讨厌别人问起我的歌词。我总是想告诉他们去读吧。

Everyone is different. Sometimes it's very exciting; sometimes very scary.

每个人都是不同的。有时非常令人兴奋;有时很可怕。

My mum believes in me almost more than I believe in myself.

我妈妈对我的信任几乎超过了我对自己的信任。