Almost everyone's instinct is to be overconfident and read way too much into a hot or cold streak.

  • -- Nate Silver 内特·希尔

几乎每个人的本能都是过于自信,对冷热无常的事情看得太多。

相关名言

I guess I see a part of myself in everyone I write about. I tend to write about kids who are obsessed with something, and even though I have never been good with machines the way Hugo is, I did love miniature things when I was a kid.

我想我在我所写的每一个人身上都看到了我自己的一部分。我倾向于写那些痴迷于某样东西的孩子,尽管我从来没有像雨果那样擅长使用机器,但当我还是个孩子的时候,我确实喜欢微型的东西。

An educated person is one who has learned that information almost always turns out to be at best incomplete and very often false, misleading, fictitious, mendacious - just dead wrong.

一个受过教育的人是这样的人:他知道,事实往往是,信息至多是不完整的,而且往往是错误的、误导人的、虚构的、虚假的——完全是错误的。

I will do almost anything for the sake of a joke or for the sake of someone's real belief in something to help tell a story.

为了一个笑话,或者为了某人对某件事的真实信念,我愿意做任何事情来帮助讲述一个故事。

I read while the kids play. I can see them from the kitchen window. And I'm a fast reader.

孩子们玩耍时我读书。我可以从厨房的窗户看到他们。我的阅读速度很快。

People that seem so glorious are all show; underneath they are like everyone else.

看起来那么光荣的人都是显摆出来的;其实他们和其他人没什么不同。

I read pretty voraciously. If it's good, I don't care what it is.

我读书非常贪婪。如果它是好的,我不在乎它是什么。