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Markets are constantly in a state of uncertainty and flux and money is made by discounting the obvious and betting on the unexpected.

  • -- George Soros 乔治·索罗斯

市场总是处于一种不确定性和流动性的状态，赚钱的方式是对显而易见的东西进行贴现，然后押注于意料之外的东西。

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Markets Uncertainty

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I started in business journalism from the outside, so when I started writing about markets and business, I was struck by the fact that markets seemed to work well even though people are often irrational, lack good information and are not perfect in the way they think about decisions.

我是从外部开始读商业新闻的，所以当我开始写关于市场和商业的文章时，我被这样一个事实所震撼:市场似乎运转得很好，尽管人们往往缺乏理性，缺乏良好的信息，在思考决策的方式上也不完美。

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I worked in three local news markets and in every single one of them, they said: 'You're a lousy anchor. We would love to renew your contract and have you be our lead reporter here, but we're not going to have you anchor.'

我在当地的三个新闻市场工作，每一个市场的人都说:‘你是个差劲的主播。我们很愿意和你续约，让你做我们这里的首席记者，但我们不会让你做主播。”

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I always work out of uncertainty but when a painting's finished it becomes a fixed idea, apparently a final statement. In time though, uncertainty returns... your thought process goes on.

我总是出于不确定性而创作，但当一幅画完成时，它就变成了一个固定的想法，显然是一个最终的陈述。但随着时间的推移，不确定性又回来了……你的思维过程还在继续。

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Fear comes from uncertainty. When we are absolutely certain, whether of our worth or worthlessness, we are almost impervious to fear.

恐惧来自不确定性。当我们完全确定自己的价值时，无论是价值还是价值，我们几乎不受恐惧的影响。

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